The current status quo is that the spot futures are fully floating, while scrap steel is floating on a small scale. Scrap steel should not be in this small range. (Similar to the situation of steel mills, many large steel mills now have abundant stocks), mainly because of the low cost of molten iron and steel mills. I am more enthusiastic about using hot metal to dilute the demand for scrap steel, and steel mills are not optimistic about late-stage material production, and the production limit will come immediately. In the next week, if the production limit meets the expectations (the expectation mentioned here is to limit the blast furnace 50% molten iron, steel If the plant does not meet the expectations, it will fail to meet expectations). If the amount of molten iron is restricted, the steel mill will use a large amount of scrap steel, and the steel plant will store it in advance in winter. Chu does not necessarily mean that it must go up in winter.
Looking at the short-term perspective, with the slowdown in the north of the north, the tightness of resources continues, the finished materials continue to rebound, steel mills are actively producing, especially the electric furnace steel mills have significantly increased their enthusiasm for receiving goods. Due to the tightness of scrap resources in the market, steel mills In particular, short-flow steel companies may gradually increase their demand for scrap steel, with strong support for scrap prices, and the scrap market will gradually follow the trend, with a range of 30-50 yuan / ton. Because of the need to guard against the decline in the prices of finished products near December, the Q460C steel plate market should move in and out quickly .
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